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El Nacional Barcelona betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The expectation is that the net will swing no more than three times in this match between El Nacional and Barcelona de Guayaquil, which is the first leg of the second qualifying round for the 2025 Copa Libertadores group stage. As you can see, this is a clash between two Ecuadorian teams who know each other very well and are likely to put up a tough fight in the battle for a single place in the third and final qualifying round of the Libertadores. Last year, these teams met twice in the Ecuadorian league, with a win for each side (Barcelona 1-0 El Nacional; El Nacional 3-0 Barcelona).
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Preview
El Nacional and Barcelona meet at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, in a match for this stage of the CONMEBOL Libertadores (2nd Round). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Liga Pro, on 05‑10‑2024, El Nacional won by (3‑0). Victor Mendoza (32' Autogolo), Fidel Martínez (88' ) and Alejandro Cabeza (3' ) scored the goals of the match for El Nacional. Barcelona registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis El Nacional

The home team comes to this stage of the CONMEBOL Libertadores (2nd Round) after having eliminated Blooming with a home win by (4‑3), after a penalty shootout, and a away loss by (3‑2) in the previous round. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a home loss against Deportivo Cuenca by (0‑1). El Nacional has won 4, tied 2 and lost 4 of the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches.

El Nacional go into this first leg of the second qualifying round for the 2025 Copa Libertadores group stage, which they play at home to Barcelona de Guayaquil, hoping to make the most of their home advantage. It's worth remembering that El Nacional faced Blooming in the first round of this qualifier and won through on penalties after drawing 4-4 on aggregate in the first and second legs. In their last match, Argentinian coach Omar Asad opted to preserve some of his key players for this Libertadores qualifier, and they were beaten 1-0 at home in their Ecuadorian league opener.

Confirmed Lineup: David Cabezas, Franklin Carabalí Carabalí, Jose Flor, Anthony Bedoya Caicedo, Marcos Olmedo Garrido, Jose Francisco Cevallos, Jawer Fabián Guisamano Camacho, Eddy Mejía Montero, Ángel Ledesma, Fidel Martínez, Jeison Chalá.
Coach: O. Asad.

Analysis Barcelona

The team plays its first match in this edition of the CONMEBOL Libertadores with the intention of getting a positive away result. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 11 wins and 4 draws at their stadium, with 38 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the Liga Pro, they got an away win against Manta by (2‑3). In the last 10 away matches Barcelona has won 2, tied 2 and lost 6. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Barcelona de Guayaquil are motivated for this first leg of the second qualifying round for the 2025 Copa Libertadores group stage, which they play away to El Nacional. Since they didn't have to play in the first round because they had a better record in the Ecuadorian league compared to El Nacional, Barcelona made their official debut in 2025 on the 14th and won away from home in the first round of the current edition of the national league. Last year, Barcelona finished 3rd in their group in the Copa Libertadores and qualified for the Copa Sudamericana play-offs, only to be eliminated by Red Bull Bragantino with a 3-2 away defeat after drawing 1-1 at home. In the Ecuadorian Championship, the team finished the First Round in second place and came fourth in the Second Round.

Confirmed Lineup: Jose David Contreras, Alex Daniel Rangel Corozo, Bryan Carabali, Exon Gustavo Vallecilla, Mario Pineida, Jhonny Quinonez, Leonai, Dixon Arroyo, Octavio Rivero, Janner Corozo, Braian Oyola.
Coach: F. Bustos.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the El Nacional vs Barcelona match, on 19 February 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Under 3,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The El Nacional vs Barcelona on 19 February 2025 will be played at Quito, Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa.

 

CONMEBOL Libertadores - 2025

  • 90% 27 / 30 Games

  • Home team wins 44.44%
  • Draws 25.93%
  • Away team wins 29.63%
  • Over 1.5 74.07%
  • Over 2.5 44.44%
  • Over 3.5 18.52%
  • Goals 65
  • Goals /match 2.41
  • Goals /match home 1.41
  • Goals /match away 1
  • Both teams score 55.56%
  • Goals after 80' 13.85%
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