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Moreirense Estrela Amadora betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The Estrela team hasn't shown the ability to win away from home. Their only win came at home to Boavista, but we know what condition the axadrez team is in. Given Moreirense's difficulties, it's unlikely that the hosts will be surprised by a defeat. This game should be low-scoring, so the best bet is: Moreirense win or draw with less than 2.5 goals.
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Preview
Moreirense and meet at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, in a match for the 24th round of the Primeira Liga. Estrela Amadora got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 28‑09‑2024. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 1 and tied 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, on 07‑04‑2024, they tied (2‑2). Bruno Brígido (43' Autogolo) and Castro (26' ) scored for Moreirense and Kikas (83' ) and André Luiz (54' ) for . Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Moreirense

The home team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 26 points won, after 7 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Casa Pia, by (3‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Famalicão, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Moreirense has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

Moreirense managed a win in round 22, at home to Casa Pia, but it was “sunshine”, as they lost again in the following round, this time to Famalicão (2-0). In other words, César Peixoto's side had gone eight consecutive days without a win until the clash with Casa Pia. Then we expected a “comeback” from the best version of Moreirense, but in Famalicão we once again saw a team “without flame”, and one that leaves many doubts about what it can do against Estrela in this 24th round.

Confirmed Lineup: Kewin, Dinis Pinto, Maracás, Leonardo Daniel Ulineia Buta, Marcelo, Rúben Ramos, Alan Souza, Luis Nlavo Asue, Cedric Teguia, Ivo Rodrigues, Guilherme Schettine.
Coach: C. Bacci.

Analysis Estrela Amadora

The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 5 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Boavista, by (0‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Santa Clara, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 8 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 30 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑0 (4 out of 11 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 5 of the last 23 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 4 of those 5 matches and have held on to the lead in 4. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Estrela are still in a titanic struggle to avoid falling into the relegation places. With 21 points and just one ahead of AVS, Estrela know they have no margin for error. Any result other than a win could see them swap places with AVS if they win this round. Estrela are therefore looking to win this game against Moreirense. It remains to be seen whether they will take more risks than usual and whether they will be able to provide a more open game with goals. It's important to note that Estrela have scored 80% of their last five goals, more specifically less than 2.5 goals.

Confirmed Lineup: João Costa, Guilherme Serrão Montóia, Diogo Martins Travassos, Rúben Lima, Francisco Ferreira, Miguel Lopes, Alan Ruiz, Paulo Moreira, Fábio Ronaldo Costa Conceição, Rodrigo Pinho, Kikas.
Coach: R. Moutinho Chéu.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Moreirense vs match, on 2 March 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Moreirense win or draw and less than 2.5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Moreirense vs on 2 March 2025 will be played at Moreira de Conegos, Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy US, for the Moreirense match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Moreirense at with 68% of the tips.

 

Primeira Liga - 2024/2025

  • 70% 215 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 45.12%
  • Draws 27.44%
  • Away team wins 27.44%
  • Over 1.5 71.63%
  • Over 2.5 47.44%
  • Over 3.5 26.51%
  • Goals 546
  • Goals /match 2.54
  • Goals /match home 1.42
  • Goals /match away 1.12
  • Both teams score 46.98%
  • Goals after 80' 17.22%
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