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Vitória Guimarães Arouca betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Vitória SC has not been a reliable team in terms of results, especially in recent games. They often play well, are superior to their opponents in terms of the game they play, but end up not winning. That could happen again in this match, so it's important to protect a possible draw. But Vitória SC will certainly score goals at home, so it's worth taking the double chance that Vitória SC will score more than 1.5 goals, not least because Arouca have the “weapons” to trouble the Victorian goal as well. 
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Preview
Guimarães and Arouca face at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, in a match for the 18th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 12‑08‑2024, Vitória SC got an away win by (0‑1). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, on 15‑01‑2024, Vitória SC won by (2‑1). Jota Silva (45' ) and André Silva (64' ) scored for Guimarães and Jason (8' ) for Arouca. Guimarães registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Guimarães

The home team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 25 points won, after 6 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Farense, by (2‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Sporting CP, by (4‑4). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. They come to this match after a away loss against O Elvas by (2‑1). For the league, Guimarães won 15 points out of 24 possible points, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 8 home matches.

They haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches for this competition. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 6 of the last 8 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 17 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 7 of their 15 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

The Vitória SC team is already starting to get within striking distance of 5th place, which is occupied by Sporting de Braga. They're 6 points off the pace, so this match, in the 18th round, is very important for the short-term future of the team. However, the team's output has dropped considerably, at least in terms of results, as they continue to put in very good displays, as was the case with the game against Sporting (4-4) and Fiorentina, where the result was very damaging to the superiority that the Victorian team showed inside the 4 lines. But all in all, Vitória SC haven't won in six consecutive games, so it's crucial that they manage to beat Arouca.

Confirmed Lineup: Bruno Varela, Oscar Rivas, Miguel Ângelo Gomes Ferreira Magalhães, Toni Borevković, Nuno Santos, José Carlos Natário Ferreira, Tiago Silva, Tomás Händel, Samú, Kaio César Andrade Lima, Dieu-Merci Ndembo-Michel.
Coach: Moreno.

Analysis Arouca

The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Gil Vicente, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against Boavista, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Arouca has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

In the last round, Arouca picked up a very important victory that brought them greater serenity and kept them level on points with the last safe place. Arouca remain in the fight to escape the relegation places, so any point gained in Guimarães will be very positive, given the difference in quality between the two teams. Arouca had drawn at home to Gil Vicente before their win at the Bessa Stadium. And two days earlier they had beaten Santa Clara 1-0. It's clearly a more competitive and confident Arouca that is going to Guimarães to face Vitória SC.

Confirmed Lineup: Nico Mantl, Chico Faria Camará Lamba, Weverson, Tiago Esgaio, José Fontán, Pablo Gozálbez, David Simão, Pedro Carvalho Santos, Alfonso Trezza Hernández, Güven Yalçın, Jason.
Coach: D. Lopes Ramos.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Guimarães vs Arouca match, on 18 January 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Vitória SC wins or draws and more than 1.5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Guimarães vs Arouca on 18 January 2025 will be played at Guimarães, Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy US, for the Guimarães Arouca match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Guimarães at with 82% of the tips.

 

Primeira Liga - 2024/2025

  • 59% 181 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 45.3%
  • Draws 26.52%
  • Away team wins 28.18%
  • Over 1.5 72.93%
  • Over 2.5 49.17%
  • Over 3.5 27.62%
  • Goals 471
  • Goals /match 2.6
  • Goals /match home 1.45
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 46.96%
  • Goals after 80' 16.56%
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