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Vitesse MVV betting prediction
 Vitesse |
|  MVV |
Betting suggestion:
This will be an intriguing fixture in the 28th round of the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, as Vitesse, the team with the league’s worst defence, host MVV, who have the second-worst away record. Our betting recommendation is the Double Chance market in favour of the visitors meaning a bet on Draw or MVV to win. This is based on MVV having picked up points in six of their 13 away matches, while Vitesse have dropped points in 10 of their 14 home games.
Preview
Vitesse and MVV meet at GelreDome, in a match for the 28th round of the Eerste Divisie. These teams have tied (2‑2) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 06‑12‑2024. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 20th and 13th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 15th best team in home matches and the 18th best in away matches.
Analysis Vitesse
After 7 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses, the home team is in the 20th position, havinf won 1 point so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Helmond Sport by (3‑0), after in the previous match they have won (2‑0) at home, against De Graafschap. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 16 points, against only 12 points in away matches. In the last 10 home league matches Vitesse has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 13 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 15 of their 27 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 14 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (46'‑60').
Vitesse would be in 15th place based on their results on the pitch in this 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie season, but the club was penalised with a 27-point deduction for breaching financial fair play regulations. The team’s biggest issue has been their defence, which is the worst in the league (60 goals conceded in 27 rounds, averaging 2.2 goals conceded per match). Their home form is slightly better, with 27 goals conceded in 14 games, averaging 1.9 goals per home match. Despite this, Vitesse have managed to win their last two home matches, keeping a clean sheet in both. Manager John van den Brom could field the same starting XI from the previous match, sticking to a 4-3-3 formation. However, a change is possible as centre-back Marcus Steffen is available again after serving a suspension. The standout performer in the squad has been Mikki van Sas, who took over as the first-choice goalkeeper after Tom Bramel became the most beaten shot-stopper in the league, conceding 56 goals in 23 appearances (an average of 2.4 goals per match).
Confirmed Lineup: Mikki van Sas, Alexander Büttner, Mees Kreekels, Justin Bakker, Giovanni van Zwam, Bas Huisman, Anass Zarrouk, Irakli Yegoian, E. Cornelisse, T. Macheras, Gyan de Regt.
Coach: J. van den Brom.
Analysis MVV
The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 8 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against FC Eindhoven, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against ADO Den Haag, by (1‑4). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 8 points in away matches and 25 points at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 19 goals conceded at home, against 12 goals scored and 23 conceded in away matches. Their last away match for this competition ended in a draw by (0‑0) against VVV‑Venlo. In the last 10 away league matches MVV has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑0 (5 out of 13 matches) and 1‑0 (5 out of 13 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 8 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 3.
MVV have the second-worst away record in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, with a 20.5% success rate, having collected just 8 points from 13 matches. The team have failed to win in their last four away games, registering one draw and three defeats. Their attacking output on the road has been poor, ranking as the third-worst in the league, with just 12 goals scored in 13 away matches – an average of 0.9 goals per game. Manager Edwin Hermans will be forced to make changes to his usual 4-2-3-1 formation, as defensive midfielder Marko Kleinen is suspended after accumulating five yellow cards in the competition. However, attacking midfielder Bryan Smeets is expected to return. MVV’s standout performer has been Belgian goalkeeper Romain Matthys, who ranks third in the league for most saves made, averaging 4.7 stops per match.
Confirmed Lineup: Romain Matthys, Lars Schenk, Tim Zeegers, Wout Coomans, Simon Francis, Ilano Silva Timas, Nabil El Basri, Robert Klaasen, Bryan Smeets, Camil Mmaee, Sven Braken.
Coach: K. Wels.
Frequently asked questions
👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Vitesse MVV match?
The tip and bet suggestion for the Vitesse vs MVV match, on 1 March 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Double chance, Draw or MVV ⇒ bet available on 10bet.
👉 In which stadium will the Vitesse MVV be played?
The Vitesse vs MVV on 1 March 2025 will be played at Arnhem, GelreDome.
Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025
- 95% 360 / 380 Games
- Home team wins 44.72%
- Draws 23.89%
- Away team wins 31.39%
- Over 1.5 80.83%
- Over 2.5 59.17%
- Over 3.5 37.5%
- Goals 1075
- Goals /match 2.99
- Goals /match home 1.68
- Goals /match away 1.31
- Both teams score 53.61%
- Goals after 80' 18.14%
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