MVV Den Bosch betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a curious encounter between two of the teams that are on the list of the best tacklers in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie. The common characteristic may even lead to a more truncated game, reinforced by the fact that Den Bosch has the third best defense in the championship, which even performs better when playing away from home. The teams have already faced each other on different occasions this season. In the last head-to-head, on 10/30/2024, MVV won (2-1) at home and qualified for the 2024/2025 KNVB Beker. Before that, on 08/23/2024, in the first round of this league, there was a (1-1) draw at Den Bosch's stadium. Even so, we will bet on Over 2.75 Goals because it was a partially or completely winning entry in 7 of the 10 games that MVV played at home and in 6 of the 10 matches that Den Bosch played away from home.
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Preview
MVV and Den Bosch meet at De Geusselt, in a match for the 22th round of the Eerste Divisie. These teams have tied (1‑1) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 23‑08‑2024. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 4 and lost 2. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the KNVB Beker, on 30‑10‑2024, MVV Maastricht won by (2‑1). Ferre Slegers (71' ) and Ozgur Aktas (26' ) scored for MVV and Törles Knöll (9' ) for Den Bosch. MVV registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis MVV

After 5 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses, the home team is in the 13th position, havinf won 23 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against TOP Oss by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have won (5‑1) at home, against Telstar. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches MVV has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑1 (4 out of 10 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 13 of their 21 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 3. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 10 home matches for this competition: they have scored 8 of their 19 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

MVV have not lost in the last 4 times they have played at their stadium and have collected 8 points with 2 games won and 2 draws. A new victory could see the club gain 3 places in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie standings. The team are characterized by being the biggest disarmer in the championship (average of 20.3 disarms made per match). Coach Edwin Hermans will have to change his starting lineup, based on a 4-2-3-1 tactical formation, as his defender and captain Ozgur Aktas will have to serve a suspension for having received 5 yellow cards throughout the championship. With that, Simon Francis is the favorite to form a duo with Wout Coomans. MVV's standout player is Belgian goalkeeper Romain Matthys, who has the third most saves in this league (an average of 4.9 saves made per game).

Confirmed Lineup: Romain Matthys, Lars Schenk, Simon Francis, Wout Coomans, Tim Zeegers, Bryan Smeets, Nabil El Basri, Ilano Silva Timas, Marko Kleinen, Camil Mmaee, Sven Braken.
Coach: K. Wels.

Analysis Den Bosch

The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Jong PSV, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in an away match against FC Emmen, by (0‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 21 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got a home win against De Treffers by (2‑1). In the last 10 away league matches Den Bosch has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Den Bosch will play their first game of the new year and want to start 2025 as well as they finished 2024. A win is essential not only because it could take the club to 3rd place in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, but also because losing points will likely mean losing positions within the qualifying zone for the access playoffs. Den Bosch have the third best defense in the league (22 goals conceded in 21 games, i.e. an average of 1.1 goals conceded per round) and their defensive performance away from home is also the third best, but with a more impressive rate (9 goals conceded in 10 games, i.e. an average of 0.9 goals conceded per away game). Den Bosch have the third worst average possession rate in the league (44.8%) and as they allow their opponents to keep the ball for a long time, they have become the third best tackler in the competition (an average of 19.2 tackles made per match). Coach Ulrich Landvreugd is expected to make changes to his last starting line-up, based on a 4-3-3, as defender Stan Henderikx received his 5th yellow card of the season in the last game. Right winger Byron Burgering is expected to be available, as he was injured in the final minutes of the last match, but is the star player in the Den Bosch squad (7 goals and 7 assists in 20 games).

Confirmed Lineup: P. van de Merbel, Victor van den Bogert, Teun van Grunsven, Nick de Groot, Sheddy Barglan, Mees Laros, Mikuláš Bakaľa, Kévin Monzialo, Danny Verbeek, Danzell Gravenberch, Byron Burgering.
Coach: D. Nascimento.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the MVV vs Den Bosch match, on 18 January 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: Asian (Over/Under) Total of Goals, Over 2.75 Goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The MVV vs Den Bosch on 18 January 2025 will be played at Maastricht, De Geusselt.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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