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De Graafschap TOP Oss betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This is a match in which the home team is clearly favored. De Graafschap is aiming for the top spot in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 and boasts the best attack in the competition to overcome TOP Oss, who are struggling with the worst away record and the weakest attack in the league. Given this scenario, we will bet on De Graafschap to score in both halves of the game. It is worth noting that of the 20 goals De Graafschap has scored at home, 9 were in the first half and 11 in the second half. On the other hand, TOP Oss has conceded 4 goals to home teams in the first half and 5 in the second half.
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Preview
De Graafschap and TOP Oss face at Stadion De Vijverberg, in a match for the 16th round of the Eerste Divisie. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 29‑10‑2024, in a match for the KNVB Beker, De Graafschap won by (4‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Xander Lambrix (45' ), Tristan van Gilst (90' ) and Ibrahim El Kadiri (17' ), for De Graafschap, and by Abel Stensrud (21' ), for TOP Oss. Although this is a match between 3rd and 13th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 2nd best in home matches and the 19th best in away matches.

Analysis De Graafschap

The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 26 points won, after 7 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against FC Dordrecht, by (4‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against MVV Maastricht, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 11 conceded, against 16 points won at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 11 conceded. For the league, De Graafschap won 16 points out of 21 possible points, after 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 7 home matches.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 8 matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 31 of the last 47 have ended with Over 2,5 goals.

De Graafschap could take the lead in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 in this round and comes into the match on the back of an unbeaten run of 9 games (8 in the league), with 5 wins and 4 draws during this period (including 4 wins and 4 draws in the league). The club stands out as the second-best home team in the competition (76% win rate, with 16 points from 7 home matches), but above all, it boasts the best attack in the Eerste Divisie (33 goals scored in 14 rounds, averaging 2.4 goals per match). At home, De Graafschap has the best home attack (averaging 2.8 goals scored per game with 20 goals in 7 home games). Their ability to score is attributed to having the third-highest number of shots in the league (16.3 shots per game) and, importantly, the highest number of shots on target (6.6 shots on goal per match). Defensively, they allow opponents to play freely, making them the least foul-prone team (10.1 fouls committed per game), and they also have the third-worst clean sheet record (only 2 games without conceding a goal). Head coach Jan Vreman is expected to repeat the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical setup, with the only absentee being midfielder Stan Wevers, who has been injured since the 3rd round, played on August 23, 2024. The standout player in the squad is left winger Ibrahim El Kadiri, the third-best shooter in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 (averaging 1.5 shots on goal per game).

Confirmed Lineup: Joshua Smits, Rowan Besselink, Rio Hillen, Jeffrey Fortes, Levi Schoppema, Donny Warmerdam, Anass Najah, Ralf Seuntjens, Ibrahim El Kadiri, Tristan van Gilst, Jesse van de Haar.
Coach: R. Robbemond.

Analysis TOP Oss

The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Vitesse, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against FC Den Bosch, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 3 points in away matches and 13 points at their stadium, with 9 goals scored and 15 goals conceded at home, against 2 goals scored and 9 conceded in away matches. In the last 6 away league matches TOP Oss has a record of 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 6 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 3 of the last 14 matches for the Eerste Divisie, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 3 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

TOP Oss is in its best form of the season after 2 wins and 1 draw, with particular emphasis on the last two matches in which they kept a clean sheet. However, they still have the worst away campaign in the league (16% win rate with 3 points from 6 away games). The team's biggest issue is the attack, the worst in the competition (11 goals scored in 14 rounds, averaging 0.7 goals per game), and especially the worst away attack (averaging 0.3 goals scored per match on the road, with only 2 goals in 6 away games). Their poor average possession (42%) makes TOP Oss the worst finisher (8.8 shots per match) and also the worst in terms of shots on target (2.9 shots on goal per game). To try to balance things out and stop their opponents, the team has become the second most foul-prone in the league (averaging 14.6 fouls per game). Head coach Sjors Ultee is expected to repeat the last starting lineup, based on the 4-3-3 tactical setup, with the only absentee being right-back Giovanni Troupee, who has been injured since the 10th round, played on October 22, 2024. As a result, Thomas Cox has been playing in that position. Goalkeeper and captain Mike Havekotte is the standout player for TOP Oss (having kept 4 clean sheets in 14 appearances) and was even named the best player in their most recent win.

Confirmed Lineup: Mike Havekotte, L. Miguel, Xander Lambrix, Giovanni Troupee, M. Esajas, Julian Kuijpers, Mitchell van Rooijen, Arthur Allemeersch, Joshua Zimmerman, Abel Stensrud, Mauresmo Johannes Jacob Danny Silvinho Hinoke.
Coach: R. Brood.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the De Graafschap vs TOP Oss match, on 22 November 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy US, goes to: De Graafschap to score in Both Halves ⇒ bet available on 10bet.

The De Graafschap vs TOP Oss on 22 November 2024 will be played at Doetinchem, Stadion De Vijverberg.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 40% 152 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 35.53%
  • Draws 26.97%
  • Away team wins 37.5%
  • Over 1.5 78.29%
  • Over 2.5 57.89%
  • Over 3.5 42.11%
  • Goals 459
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.54
  • Goals /match away 1.48
  • Both teams score 53.29%
  • Goals after 80' 18.3%
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